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Larry Green, CFA
- May 11
- 1 min
Government JOLTS number beats Bloomberg Consensus High with an 8.123M Job Openings for March
We consider our LinkUp Jobs Data to be a proxy for "Janet Yellen's Favorite Economic Indicator" --> JOLTS. The Monthly Job Opening and Labor Turnover Study gives a picture of the number of job openings. While the JOLTS is 2 months delayed (today's print was for March Job Openings), our LinkUp Job Post data is near real time (yesterday) and is highly correlated with JOLTS. Today's 8.123M Job Openings print for March affirms what we were seeing 2 months ago, that there are A
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Larry Green, CFA
- May 6
- 1 min
SMD Forecasts an Above Consensus High 1.317 Million jobs in tomorrow's BLS April Jobs report
The BLS will print an ABOVE Bloomberg Consensus HIGH (1.25M) Non-Farm Payroll job increase of 1.317 Million jobs tomorrow morning. #SmartMarketData #BLS #LinkUp #Jobs #BigData #NFP #Quant #AlternativeData #COVID19 #NFPGuesses
4 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Mar 5
- 1 min
SMD Forecasts a Slightly Below Consensus 156K jobs in today's BLS February Jobs report
The BLS will print a below Bloomberg Consensus (175K) Non-Farm Payroll job increase of 156K. #SmartMarketData #BLS #LinkUp #Jobs #BigData #NFP #Quant #AlternativeData #COVID19 #NFPGuesses
2 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Feb 4
- 1 min
SMD Forecasts a Below Consensus Low -188K jobs in tomorrow's BLS January Jobs report
Tomorrow the BLS will print a below Bloomberg Consensus Low(-100K) Non-Farm Payroll job decrease of -188K. #SmartMarketData #BLS #LinkUp #Jobs #BigData #NFP #Quant #AlternativeData #COVID19 #NFPGuesses
3 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Jan 7
- 1 min
SMD Forecasts a Below Consensus 35K jobs in tomorrow's BLS December Jobs report
Tomorrow the BLS will print a below Bloomberg Consensus (50K) Non-Farm Payroll job decrease of 35K. #SmartMarketData #BLS #LinkUp #Jobs #BigData #NFP #Quant #AlternativeData #COVID19 #NFPGuesses
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Larry Green, CFA
- May 20, 2020
- 1 min
#LinkUp #Jobs Supply Decline has BOTTOMED! Have we flattened the Job Curve? #COVID-19 #altdata
https://www.smartmarketdata.com/covid-19 - Spreadsheets and Chartbooks updated https://www.smartmarketdata.com/research #LinkUp #Jobs Supply Decline has BOTTOMED! Have we flattened the Job Curve? #COVID-19 #altdata We will be watch the LinkUp jobs data closely for validated uptick in Job Supply.
11 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Mar 31, 2020
- 1 min
SMD has published new Macro and Company Level Research on the Impact of COVID-19 on Hiring.
https://www.smartmarketdata.com/covid-19 https://www.smartmarketdata.com/research #SmartMarketData #LinkUp #Jobs #Quant #AlternativeData We will publish our Monthly Non farm Payrolls number on Thursday.
18 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Mar 5, 2020
- 1 min
SMD is forecasting an above Bloomberg Consensus High (220K) Net New Jobs of 225,000 in Friday's
SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus high estimate (220,000) forecast of 225,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for February, 2020. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.6%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.2%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best ex
5 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Feb 6, 2020
- 1 min
SMD is forecasting a below Bloomberg Consensus Low (145K) Net New Jobs of 112,000 in Friday's BL
SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus low estimate (145,000) forecast of 112,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for January, 2020. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.6%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.2%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expec
3 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Jan 9, 2020
- 1 min
SMD is forecasting an Above Bloomberg Consensus High (190K) Net New Jobs of 204,000 in Friday's
SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus high estimate (190,000) forecast of 204,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for December, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.5%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best exp
2 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Dec 5, 2019
- 1 min
SMD is forecasting a Below Bloomberg Consensus Low (149K) Net New Jobs of 125,000 in Friday's BL
SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus low estimate (149,000) forecast of just 125,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for November, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.6%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.2%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best
4 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Oct 31, 2019
- 1 min
SMD is forecasting an Above Bloomberg Consensus(90K) Net New Jobs of 140,000 in Friday's BLS NFP
SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus (90,000) forecast of 140,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for October, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.6%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectation for t
7 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Oct 3, 2019
- 1 min
SMD is forecasting a rare inline to the Bloomberg Consensus(145K) Net New Jobs of 147,000 in Friday
SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an inline to Bloomberg consensus (145,000) forecast of 147,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for September, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.7%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectatio
2 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Sep 5, 2019
- 1 min
SMD is forecasting a below Bloomberg Consensus Low Net New Jobs of 140,000 in tomorrow's BLS NFP
SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus low (150,000) forecast of 140,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for August, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.7%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.2%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectation fo
6 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Aug 1, 2019
- 1 min
SMD is forecasting an above Bloomberg Consensus High Net New Jobs of 247,000 in tomorrow's BLS N
SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus high (170,000) forecast of 247,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for July, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.6%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.2%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectation fo
4 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Jul 5, 2019
- 1 min
SMD is forecasting a below Bloomberg Consensus Low Net New Jobs of 102,000 in today's BLS NFP re
SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus low (135,000) forecast of 102,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for June, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate to tic up to 3.6%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.2%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expect
5 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- Jun 6, 2019
- 1 min
SMD is forecasting an above Bloomberg Consensus High Net New Jobs of 272,000 in tomorrow's BLS N
SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus high (215,000) forecast of 272,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for May, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate to decline to 3.5%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expe
6 views0 comments
Larry Green, CFA
- May 2, 2019
- 1 min
SMD is forecasting an above Bloomberg Consensus High Net New Jobs of 265,000 in tomorrow's BLS N
SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus high (240,000) forecast of 265,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for April, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate to decline to 3.9%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best ex
8 views0 comments
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