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  • Larry Green, CFA

SMD is forecasting a below consensus Low Net New Jobs of 99,000 in tomorrow's BLS release

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus low (145,000) forecast of 99,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for March, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate to stay flat at 3.8%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up .2%.

Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectation for their company's future employment, and therefore their company's expected growth. When rolled up to a macro level, we believe this gives a near real time look at job growth for the entire US economy.

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