#BLS

Larry Green, CFA

Jan 9, 2020
1 min

SMD is forecasting an Above Bloomberg Consensus High (190K) Net New Jobs of 204,000 in Friday's

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus high estimate (190,000) forecast of 204,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for December, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.5%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best exp

3 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Dec 5, 2019
1 min

SMD is forecasting a Below Bloomberg Consensus Low (149K) Net New Jobs of 125,000 in Friday's BL

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus low estimate (149,000) forecast of just 125,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for November, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.6%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.2%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best

5 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Oct 31, 2019
1 min

SMD is forecasting an Above Bloomberg Consensus(90K) Net New Jobs of 140,000 in Friday's BLS NFP

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus (90,000) forecast of 140,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for October, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.6%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectation for t

8 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Oct 3, 2019
1 min

SMD is forecasting a rare inline to the Bloomberg Consensus(145K) Net New Jobs of 147,000 in Friday

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an inline to Bloomberg consensus (145,000) forecast of 147,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for September, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.7%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectatio

4 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Sep 5, 2019
1 min

SMD is forecasting a below Bloomberg Consensus Low Net New Jobs of 140,000 in tomorrow's BLS NFP

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus low (150,000) forecast of 140,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for August, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.7%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.2%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectation fo

8 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Aug 1, 2019
1 min

SMD is forecasting an above Bloomberg Consensus High Net New Jobs of 247,000 in tomorrow's BLS N

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus high (170,000) forecast of 247,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for July, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate at 3.6%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.2%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectation fo

19 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Jul 5, 2019
1 min

SMD is forecasting a below Bloomberg Consensus Low Net New Jobs of 102,000 in today's BLS NFP re

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus low (135,000) forecast of 102,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for June, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate to tic up to 3.6%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.2%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expect

5 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Jun 6, 2019
1 min

SMD is forecasting an above Bloomberg Consensus High Net New Jobs of 272,000 in tomorrow's BLS N

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus high (215,000) forecast of 272,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for May, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate to decline to 3.5%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expe

9 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

May 2, 2019
1 min

SMD is forecasting an above Bloomberg Consensus High Net New Jobs of 265,000 in tomorrow's BLS N

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus high (240,000) forecast of 265,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for April, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate to decline to 3.9%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up 0.3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best ex

9 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Apr 5, 2019
1 min

SMD is forecasting a below consensus Low Net New Jobs of 99,000 in tomorrow's BLS release

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus low (145,000) forecast of 99,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for March, 2019. We forecast the unemployment rate to stay flat at 3.8%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up .2%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expe

5 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Jan 3, 2019
1 min

SMD is forecasting a below consensus low Net New Jobs of 138,000 in tomorrow's BLS release

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus low (160,000) forecast of 138,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for December, 2018. We forecast the unemployment rate to be steady at 3.7%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up .3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best

9 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Dec 6, 2018
1 min

SmartMarketData is forecasting a net gain of 229K jobs in tomorrow's BLS Non farm payrolls rele

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus (190,000) and Bloomberg high (220,000) forecast of 229,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for November, 2018. We forecast the unemployment rate to be steady at 3.7%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up .3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a compa

8 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Nov 1, 2018
1 min

SmartMarketData is forecasting 146K net new jobs in tomorrow's BLS NFP jobs report

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting a below Bloomberg consensus (190,000) and Bloomberg low (150,000) forecast of 146,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for October, 2018. We forecast the unemployment rate to decline to 3.6%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up .3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company ma

7 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Oct 4, 2018
1 min

SmartMarketData is forecasting net new non-farm payroll jobs of 215,000 in tomorrow's BLS NFP re

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus (180,000) and Bloomberg high (195,000) forecast of 215,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for September, 2018. We forecast the unemployment rate to decline to 3.8%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up .3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a compan

4 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Aug 2, 2018
1 min

SmartMarketData is forecasting a modest upside surprise of 203K net new NFP jobs in tomorrow's B

SmartMarketData is forecasting a modestly above Bloomberg consensus forecast of 203,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for July, 2018. We forecast the unemployment rate to tic down to 3.9%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up .3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectation for

8 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Jul 5, 2018
1 min

SmartMarketData is forecasting an above consensus high forecast of 222K net new NFP jobs for June

SmartMarketData is forecasting an above consensus high forecast of 222,000 net new NFP (non-farm payroll) jobs for June, 2018. We forecast the unemployment rate to remain flat at 3.8%. We forecast average hourly earnings to tic up .3%. Our proprietary forecast methodology uses the LinkUp Jobs Data of real time job posts for almost 50,000 companies as a core input. This alternative data set of company job posts are a company management team's best expectation for their com

7 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

May 31, 2018
1 min

SMD is forecasting a below consensus print of 178K net new jobs in tomorrow's non-farm payrolls

SmartMarketData LLC is forecasting 178K net new non-farm payroll jobs in tomorrows Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs report, below the Bloomberg consensus 190K. We are also looking at the unemployment rate staying flat at 3.9%, and average hourly earnings to tick up .1%. Based on what we are seeing, next month could be another miss versus consensus as well. Our forecasts are based on proprietary models which use the real-time LinkUp Jobs Data set of over 100 million job posts f

12 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

May 3, 2018
1 min

SMD is forecasting a below consensus low print of 140K Net New Non-Farm Payrolls in tomorrow's B

SmartMarketData, LLC is forecasting 140K net new non-farm payroll jobs in April, below the Bloomberg consensus (191K), and below the Bloomberg low estimate (145K). Using our proprietary model, which utilizes the LinkUp Job Post Data, a daily, real-time data set comprised of over 50,000 companies job posts, with over 10 years of history, we saw job post creation, and active job posts decline in April leading in part to our street low estimate. We expect average hourly earnings

9 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Apr 5, 2018
1 min

SMD is forecasting a 256K print in tomorrows Jobs number. Above the Bloomberg consensus high of 225

We are forecasting 256,000 net new non-farm payroll jobs added in the month of March, above the Bloomberg consensus of 172K, and the Bloomberg consensus high of 225K. While the number is a decline from last months , we still see strong jobs growth in our model. SMD uses the LinkUp Job Post Data as a primary input to our model. This dataset consists of over 50,000 companies job postings. We believe job postings are the best near real-time indicator of a company management te

5 views0 comments

Larry Green, CFA

Mar 8, 2018
1 min

SMD is forecasting an above consensus and above consensus high NFP print of 249K net new jobs in tom

SMD is forecasting an above Bloomberg consensus and above Bloomberg consensus high non farm payrolls job print of 249K net new jobs in tomorrow's Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs report. The consensus is 205K, and the consensus high is 230K. New job posts continue to increase. We are forecasting unemployment to fall to 4.0%. We are forecasting average hourly earnings to continue to tic up. We base our forecasts on our proprietary research which uses the real-time LinkUp Jobs

6 views0 comments